SFUSD’s “Equity” Lottery Backfired Spectacularly

SFUSD’s “equity” lottery was supposed to end segregation. Instead it made schools MORE segregated, drove 4,000 students out, bankrupted the district—and it all started with anti-Chinese racism the bureaucrats refused to fix. This is a policy failure wrapped up in virtue signaling. Craven.

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SFUSD’s “equity” lottery made schools more segregated and helped drive a 4,000‑student (8%) enrollment collapse — a social experiment on kids that backfired, bankrupted the district, and still hasn’t been repealed. This is a policy failure wrapped up in virtue signaling. Craven https://t.co/Mg96HGfOBM https://t.co/Q2bqgtkNnG [Quoting @LoveCodeTrade]: 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗶𝘅 𝗦𝗙𝗨𝗦𝗗 𝗪𝗼𝗻'𝘁 𝗧𝗿𝘆 SFUSD lost nearly 4,000 students since 2019-20. Families are fleeing to private schools or leaving SF. The district is insolvent. The one reform that could end the decline is the one nobody will touch: let kids go to their neighborhood school. The lottery buses kids across the city for "equity". The result? Rich families opt out entirely. Zero local investment. Zero community. Look at Marin County. Parents send kids down the street, get involved, fundraise, build something worth caring about. SF could have that. The objection is always segregation. Neighborhood schools would reflect neighborhood demographics, and SF neighborhoods aren't evenly mixed. So the lottery exists to redistribute kids across the city by race. But it hasn't worked. Schools are still segregated, and now families have no connection to the school down the street. Want wealthy parents funding public schools instead of bailing to private? Give them a school they can walk to. Skin in the game. The current system gives them every reason to leave.

Garry Tan @garrytan February 04, 2026

It Started With Racism Against Chinese Kids

The origin story here is infuriating. In 1993, Brian Ho—a five-year-old Chinese American—was turned away from his two neighborhood kindergartens because they had already accepted the “maximum allowed percentage” of Chinese schoolchildren. Patrick Wong, 14, got rejected from Lowell High School despite having scores high enough to be admitted if he’d been any other race. Hillary Chen, 8, couldn’t transfer to schools near her new home because all three had hit their Chinese quota.

These three kids sued SFUSD in 1994, and they won. But instead of stopping the racism against Chinese Americans, the bureaucrats replaced it with a system that made everything worse by creating a new “Diversity Index” that crashed public school budgets.

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The wild thing is it all started with anti-Chinese racial discrimination by school officials and the district Instead of stopping racism against the Chinese Americans, the bureaucrats decided to wreck the system which crashed public school budgets. https://t.co/hPv9XTJbLZ https://t.co/jJhJiCpDRF

Garry Tan @garrytan February 04, 2026

The “Fix” That Made Everything Worse

Here’s the data that exposes the lie. Before the 1983 consent decree ended, only 0.6% of San Francisco schools had over 50% of a single racial group. Six years later, it had climbed to 35%. By 2005, over one in three schools had completely resegregated.

Federal Judge William Alsup delivered the damning verdict: the consent decree “has proven to be ineffective, if not counterproductive, in achieving diversity in San Francisco public schools.”

The system was designed so that whoever played the game best won. According to the Wikipedia article, “Participation in the choice process varied by race/ethnicity—white and Asian families were much more likely than African American and Latino families to submit their choices in January for August enrollment.” By the time those families enrolled, the high-demand schools were already full.

Rich Families Flee, Working Families Suffer

San Francisco now has roughly 30% of kids in private schools. That’s nearly four times the state average and the highest rate in California. SFUSD has lost 4,000 students (8%) since 2019-20. The district is now insolvent and closing schools.

Zero local investment. Zero community.

The burden falls hardest on working-class families who can’t afford to escape. The system that was supposed to promote equity instead created a two-tier city: private schools for those who can afford $40K/year tuition, and an underfunded public system for everyone else. And now parents are cheating the lottery with fake addresses—and SFUSD has essentially given up trying to stop it.

The Fix They Won’t Try

Look at Marin County. Parents send kids down the street, get involved, fundraise, build something worth caring about. SF could have that. Want wealthy parents funding public schools instead of bailing to private? Give them a school they can walk to. Skin in the game. The current system gives them every reason to leave.

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What's the fix? SFUSD and the school board must stop using race-correlated proxies and start using socioeconomics. Being focused on racial outcomes is disastrous for everyone. Being focused on good outcomes and helping kids rise up the socioeconomic ladder must be the focus. https://t.co/FnYLUK9CQf

Garry Tan @garrytan February 04, 2026

Other districts—Cambridge, Wake County, Louisville—achieved better integration by focusing on income mixing rather than race. They got both economic AND racial diversity. San Francisco, focused on racial outcomes through convoluted workarounds, got neither.

Being focused on racial outcomes is disastrous for everyone. Being focused on good outcomes and helping kids rise up the socioeconomic ladder must be the focus. This is what happens when bureaucrats care more about appearing virtuous than actually helping kids. Twenty-plus years of obvious failure, and still no repeal. The fix is simple: let kids go to their neighborhood school (with socioeconomic guardrails, not race-based ones). SFUSD’s leadership has proven they’d rather bankrupt the district than admit their experiment failed.